Использование ГИС-моделирования для анализа распространения средней ящерицы, Lacerta media Lantz et Cyren, 1920, на территории Дагестана (Россия)

И.В. Доронин, Л.Ф. Мазанаева и М.А. Доронина

Труды Зоологического института РАН, 2018, 322(4): 463–480 · https://doi.org/10.31610/trudyzin/2018.322.4.463

Резюме

В публикации приводятся результаты ГИС-моделирования с помощью программы MaxEnt 3.3.3k области распространения средней ящерицы, Lacerta media Lantz et Cyrén, 1920, в прошлом, настоящем и будущем. При анализе были использованы географические координаты 26 мест находок вида на территории Дагестана. Полученные модели прошлого распространения (последний ледниковый максимум и средний голоцен) в северо-восточной части Кавказа демонстрируют стабильное расположение потенциально пригодной территории в границах известного современного ареала. Показано отсутствие заметных изменений границ ареала вида при потенциальном потеплении климата в будущем (2050 и 2070 гг.). Мы можем сделать вывод об отсутствии угроз для средней ящерицы со стороны глобального потепления, кроме того, антропогенное воздействие на дагестанские популяции минимально. Были выявлены наиболее перспективные территории для поиска новых популяций: выше и ниже по течению рек Самур, Курах, Андийское Койсу и Аварское Койсу. Кроме того, к ним можно отнести ущелья в среднем течении рек Гамриозень, Халагорк, Уллучай и Чирагчай. Отметим, что эта территория слабо изучена герпетологами.

Ключевые слова

Lacerta media, ареал, Дагестан, Кавказ, моделирование, MaxЕnt

Поступила в редакцию 13 июля 2017 г. · Принята в печать 19 ноября 2018 г. · Опубликована 25 декабря 2018 г.

Литература

Agasyan A., Tuniyev B., Cogalniceanu D., Wilkinson J., Ananjeva N., Orlov N., Lymberakis P., Crochet P.-A., Disi A. M.M., Hraoui-Bloquet S., Sadek R., Werner Y., Tok V., Ugurtas I. and Sevinç M. 2009.Lacerta media. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: https://doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2009.RLTS.T164749A5922769 (accessed on June 30, 2018).

Ahmadzadeh F., Flecks M., Carretero M.A., Böhme W., Ilgaz C., Engler J.O., Harris D.J., Üzüm N. and Rödder D. 2013a. Rapid lizard radiation lacking niche conservatism: ecological diversification within a complex landscape. Journal of Biogeography, 40(9): 1807–1818. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.12121

Ahmadzadeh F., Flecks M., Rödder D., Böhme W., Ilgaz Ç., Harris D.J., Engler J.O., Üzüm N. and Carretero M.A. 2013b. Multiple dispersal out of Anatolia: biogeography and evolution of oriental green lizards. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 110(2): 398–408. https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12129

Alekperov A.M. 1978. Amphibians and reptiles of Azerbaijan. Publishing «Elm», Baku, 264 p. [In Russian].

Alifanov V.R. 2012. Lacertilia. In: E.N. Kurochkin and A.V. Lopatin (Eds.). Fossil vertebrates of Russia and adjacent countries. The reference book for palaeontologists, biologists and geologists. Fossil Reptiles and Birds. Part 2. GEOS, Moscow: 7–136. [In Russian].

Bannikov A.G., Darevsky I.S. and Rustamov A.K. 1971. Amphibians and reptiles of the USSR. Mysl’, Moscow, 303 p. (Series «Directories-determinants of the geographer and traveler»). [In Russian].

Bannikov A.G., Darevsky I.S., Ishchenko V.G., Rustamov A.K. and Szczerbak N.N. 1977. Guide to Amphibians and Reptiles of the USSR Fauna. Prosveshchenie, Moscow, 414 p. [In Russian].

Blain H.-A., Agusti J., Lordkipanidze D., Rook L. and Delfino M. 2014. Paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental context of the Early Pleistocene hominins from Dmanisi (Georgia, Lesser Caucasus) inferred from the herpetofaunal assemblage. Quaternary science reviews, 105: 136–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.10.004

Brandefelt J., Zhang Q., Näslund J.O. and Hartikainen J. 2013. The potential for permafrost in south-central Sweden in the next 60,000 years. Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, SKB TR-13-04, Sweden, Report, Stockholm, 75 p.

Buachidze N.I. 1973. About some features of the Pleistocene fauna of the Shiraki vertebrates. Reports of the Academy of Sciences of the Georgian SSR, 72(2): 501–503. [In Russian].

Buckley L.B., Hurlbert A.H. and Jetz W. 2012. Broadscale ecological implications of ectothermy and endothermy in changing environments. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21: 873–885. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00737.x

Busby J.R. 1991. BIOCLIM – a bioclimatic analysis and predictive system. In: C.R. Margules and M.P. Austin (Eds.). Nature conservation: cost effective biological surveys and data analysis. CSIRO, Canberra: 64–68.

Darevsky I.S. 2001.Lacerta media Lantz et Cyren, 1920. In: V.I. Danilov-Danilyan and others (Ed.). Red Data Book of the Russian Federation (Animals). AST-Astrel, Moscow: 333–334. [In Russian].

Doronin I.V. 2012. The use of GIS for the analysis of the distribution of rock lizards Darevskia (saxicola) complex (Sauria: Lacertidae). Current Studies in Herpetology, 12(3/4): 91–122. [In Russian].

Doronin I.V. 2015. Distribution data of Rock lizards from the Darevskia (praticola) complex (Sauria: Lacertidae). Current Studies in Herpetology, 15(1/2): 3–38. [In Russian].

Dudov S.V. 2016. Modeling of species distribution using topography and remote sensing data, with vascular plants of the Tukuringra Range low mountain belt (Zeya state Nature Reserve, Amur Region) as a case study. Zhurnal Obshchei Biologi, 77(2): 122–134. [In Russian]. https://doi.org/10.1134/S2079086417030021

Elith J. 2002. Quantitative methods for modeling species habitat: Comparative performance and an application to Australian plants. In: S. Ferson and M. Burgman (Eds.). Quantitative methods for conservation biology: 39–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-22648-6_4

Elith J. and Leathwick J.R. 2009. Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 40(1): 677–697. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.110308.120159

Elith J., Graham C.H., Anderson R.P., Dudík M., Ferrier S., Guisan A., Hijmans R.J., Huettmann F., Leathwick J.R., Lehmann A., Li J., Lohmann L.G., Loiselle B.A., Manion G., Moritz C., Nakamura M., Nakazawa Y., McOverton J.C., Peterson A.T., Phillips S.J., Richardson K.S., Scachetti-Pereira R., Schapire R.E., Soberón J., Williams S., Wisz M.S. and Zimmermann N.E. 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography. 29: 129–151. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2006.0906-7590.04596.x

Elith J., Phillips S.J., Hastie T., Dudik M., Chee Y.E. and Yates C.J. 2011. A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity and Distributions, 17(1): 43–57. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00725.x

Gent P.R, Danabasoglu G., Donner L.J., Holland M.M., Hunke E.C., Jayne S.R., Lawrence D.M., Neale R.B., Rasch P.J., Vertenstein M., Worley P.H., Yang Z.L. and Zhang M.H. 2011. The community climate system model version 4. Journal of Climate, 24(19): 4973–4991.

Grinnell J. 1917. The niche-relationships of the California Thrasher. Auk, 34: 427–433. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4083.1

Harris R.M., McQuillan P. and Hughes L. 2013. A test of the thermal melanism hypothesis in the wingless grasshopper Phaulacridium vittatum. Journal of Insect Science, 13(5): 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1673/031.013.5101

Hijmans R.J., Cameron S.E., Parra J.L., Jones P.G. and Jarvis A. 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25: 1965–1978. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1276

Krasovsky D.B. 1932. Materials to the knowledge of the fauna of terrestrial vertebrates Rutul canton of the Dagestan ASSR. News of T. Godiev 2nd North Caucasian pedagogical institute, 9: 185–218. [In Russian].

Kukushkin O.V. and Doronin I.V. 2015. Experience in using the Maxent program to analyze the habitats of amphibians and reptiles in the Crimea. 2. Difficulties in interpreting the data. Program and materials of the International Scientific Conference dedicated to the 50th anniversary of the Zoological Museum of the Taurida Academy. Simferopol. P. 63–65. [In Russian].

Lissovsky A.A. and Obolenskaya E.V. 2014. A study of the distribution ranges of small mammals from South-Eastern Transbaikalia with ecological niche modeling methods. Zhurnal Obshchei Biologi, 75(5): 353–371. [In Russian].

Litvinchuk S.N. 2017. Distribution and conservation status of the banded newt, Ommatotriton ophryticus (Amphibia: Caudata). Nature Conservation Research, 2(1): 33–39. [In Russian]. https://doi.org/10.24189/ncr.2017.054

Mazanaeva L.F. and Askenderov A.D. 2016. The distribution and ecology of the middle lizards Lacerta media Lantz et Cyren, 1920 (Reptilia: Sauria: Lacertidae) in Dagestan. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Series 3. Biology, 3: 93–99. [In Russian]. https://doi.org/10.21638/11701/spbu03.2016.316

Mazanaeva L.F. and Orlova V.F. 2009. Three-lined Lizard – Lacerta media (Lantz et Cyren, 1920). In: The Red Data Book of the Republic of Dagestan. Ministry of Natural Resources and Environmental Protection of the Republic of Dagestan, Makhachkala: 382–383. [In Russian].

Mazanaeva L.F. and Tuniyev B.S. 2011. Zoogeographical analysis of the Dagestan herpetofauna. Current Studies in Herpetology, 11(1/2): 55–76. [In Russian].

Mikheev A.D. 2005. Endemism and relict character of flora of the Region of the Caucasus Mineral Waters (the Central Caucasus). Mountain Ecosystems and Their Components. Proceedings of the International Conference. Volume 2. Nalchik: 27–31. [In Russian].

Naumov N.P. 1963. Ecology of animals. Higher School, Moscow, 619 p. [In Russian].

Ostrovskikh S.V. and Plotnikov G.K. 2009. Modern areas and condition of populations of some Lacertids Northwest Caucasus. Bulletin of the Samarskaya Luka: problems of regional and global ecology, 18(1): 96–100. [In Russian].

Phillips S.J. and Dudik M. 2008. Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography, 31(2): 161–175. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0906-7590.2008.5203.x

Pocheville A. 2015. The Ecological Niche: History and Recent Controversies. In: Heams T., Huneman P., Lecointre G., Silberstein M. (Eds.). Handbook of Evolutionary Thinking in the Sciences. Springer, Dordrecht: 547–586. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.3205.8405

Roitberg E.S., Mazanaeva L.F., Ilyina E.V. and Orlova V.F. 2000. Die Echse des Dagestans (Nordkaukasus, Russland): Artenliste und aktuelle Verbreitungsdaten (Reptilia: Sauria: Gekkonidae, Agamidae, Anguidae, Scincidae et Lacertidae). Faunistische Abhandlungen, Staatl. Mus. Tierkunde, 22(8): 97–118.

Scheldeman X. and van Zonneveld M. 2010. Training manual on spatrial analysis of plant diversity and distribution. Bioversity Internationa, Rome, 179 p.

Sindaco R. and Jeremčenko V.K. 2008. The Reptiles of the Western Palearctic. 1. Annotated Checklist and Distributional atlas of the turtles, crocodiles, amphisbaenians and lizards of Europe, North Africa, Middle East and Central Asia. Edizioni Belvedere, Latina (Italy), 579 p.

Skorinov D.V. and Litvinchuk S.N. 2016. Tracing glacial refugia of the smooth newt (Lissotriton vulgaris) based on species distribution modelling. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Series 3. Biology, 3: 136–143. [In Russian]. https://doi.org/10.21638/11701/spbu03.2016.323

Šmíd J., Moravec J., Kodym P., Kratochvil L., Hosseinian Yousefkhani S.S. and Frynta D. 2014. Annotated checklist and distribution of the lizards of Iran. Zootaxa, 3855(1): 1–97. https://doi.org/10.11646/zootaxa.3855.1.1

Tuniyev B.S. 1995. On the Mediterranean influence on the formation of herpetofauna of the Caucasian isthmus and its main xerophylous refugia. Russian Journal of Herpetology, 2(2): 95–119.

Tuniyev B.S. and Ostrovskikh S.V. 2017. Three-lined Lizard Lacerta media (Lantz et Cyren, 1920). In: A.S. Zamotaylov, Yu.V. Lohman and B.I. Wolff (Eds.). Red data book of Krasnodar Territory. Animals. III edition. Administration of Krasnodar Territory, Krasnodar: 492–493. [In Russian].

Vekua A.K. 1991. The history of the fauna – vertebrates. In: Georgia in anthropogen. Development of landscape components and paleogeographic reconstructions. Publishing «Sakartvelo», Tbilisi: 308–381. [In Russian].

Warren D.L., Glor R.E. and Turelli M. 2010. ENMTools: a toolbox for comparative studies of environmental niche models. Ecography, 33: 607–611. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.06142.x

Zinenko O.I. and Goncharenko L.A. 2011. Catalogue of collections of the Museum of Nature at V.N. Karazin’s Kharkiv national university. Reptiles (Reptilia): Rhynchocephalia; Squamata: Lizards (Sauria), Amphisbaenians (Amphisbaenia). V.N. Karazin KhNU, Kharkov, 100 p. [In Russian].